Walker v. The City of New York

E.D.N.Y9/16/2024
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UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT                                              
EASTERN DISTRICT OF NEW YORK                                              

MICHAEL WALKER                                                            

             Plaintiff,                                                 
                                 14-cv-680 (NRM) (PK)                   
        v.                                                              
                                 MEMORANDUM AND ORDER                   
THE CITY OF NEW YORK, GREGORY                                             
GORDON, and MICHAEL SMITH                                                 

             Defendants.                                                



NINA R. MORRISON, United States District Judge:                           
   This is a civil rights action brought under 42 U.S.C. § 1983, in which the 
Plaintiff, Michael Walker, alleges, inter alia, that New York Police Department 
(“NYPD”) officers Gregory Gordon and Michael Smith violated his constitutional 
right to be free from excessive force when they shot him in the back and seriously 
injured him during a police-citizen encounter in Staten Island in February 2013.  
Defendants do not deny that the officers shot Plaintiff but claim that Plaintiff was 
armed with a firearm and that their actions were justified to protect their own safety 
and that of the community.  Plaintiff offers a starkly different account of their 
encounter: he maintains that he was unarmed, that the officers’ decision to shoot him 
was unreasonable and unjustified, and that the officers proceeded to fabricate a false 
account of the incident to cover up their unlawful use of potentially deadly force.  
   In advance of a long-anticipated jury trial in this civil action, Plaintiff has 
moved to preclude Defendants the City of New York, Gregory Gordon, and Michael 
Smith from offering at trial evidence generated by the Office of the Chief Medical 
Examiner  (“OCME”)  using  its  Low  Copy  Number  (“LCN”)  testing  and  Forensic 
Statistical Tool (“FST”) on a mixed DNA sample consisting of 22.35 picograms (pg) of 

DNA.  The DNA sample in question was swabbed by OCME from a “trigger and  
trigger guard” of a firearm that was reportedly recovered near the scene of Plaintiff’s 
shooting.                                                                 
   In a docket order dated September 11, 2024, the Court granted Plaintiff’s 
motion to preclude with “additional reasoning supporting its ruling” to follow.  Order 
dated Sept. 11, 2024.  The Court now writes to provide its reasoning.     

   As explained below, Defendants, as the proponents of this scientific evidence, 
have not met their burden of showing that the evidence is reliable and admissible 
under  Daubert  v.  Merrell  Dow  Pharmaceuticals,  Inc.,  509  U.S.  579  (1993).  
Specifically,  Defendants  have  failed  to  demonstrate  the  reliability  of  OCME’s 
methods  for  estimating  the  number  of  contributors  to  a  non-deconvoluted  DNA 
mixture where, as here, the mixture is below 25 pg in quantity.  Moreover, because 
the estimation of contributors is a threshold determination that substantially impacts 

the “likelihood ratio” generated by the proprietary software, FST, that OCME uses to 
explain the potential statistical significance of its conclusions to the jury, the OCME’s 
analysis and conclusions as to the DNA sample in this case are inadmissible.   
                          BACKGROUND                                    
I.   Forensic DNA Analysis and OCME Methodologies                       
   The fundamentals of forensic DNA testing are not at issue in this case, nor are 
the parties in disagreement over them.  For the context in which the parties’ dispute 
over  the  specific  DNA  testing  methods  used  here  arises,  they  each  cite  a  brief 
overview of the science of DNA testing by Dr. Craig O’Connor, Defendants’ expert 
witness and a Deputy Director in OCME’s Department of Forensic Biology:   

   Forensic DNA profiling targets areas of DNA that vary from person to 
   person.  DNA testing can determine these genetic markers and compare 
   biological samples from different individuals. Short Tandem Repeats or 
   “STR[s]” are the specific groups of loci (locus in the singular) that are 
   used to type and compare DNA.  These are short segments of DNA that  
   are repeated a number of times in tandem, or in a row.  The length of 
   the short segments of DNA that repeat along the DNA strand varies and 
   can be used to type individuals.                                     
   DNA analysis looks at the length variation — specifically, at the number 
   of repeats of the short segments — at an STR locus.  The number of   
   repeats at a particular location constitutes the DNA type or “allele” 
   present at that location.  For example, a “10” allele means that there 
   were ten repeats of the sequence at that locus.  Since each person   
   receives half of their DNA from one biological parent and half from the 
   other biological parent, each individual has two DNA alleles at each 
   locus,  each  of  which  is  identified  by  its  length,  determined  by  the 
   number of repeats.  An individual’s DNA profile is essentially a string of 
   numbers representing the number of repeats present at each location. 
O’Connor Summary of Testimony at 6, ECF No. 239-20.                       
   Basic forensic DNA analysis contains several steps.  O’Connor Deposition, ECF 
No. 239-24.  First, the criminalist extracts the DNA by adding chemicals to the 
sample that “break open the cells to release the DNA.”  Id. at 15.  Second, the amount 
of DNA in the sample is estimated through a series of tests in a process called 
quantitation or quantification.  Id.  If there is not enough or any DNA, the DNA 
analysis cannot continue.  Id.  However, if there is a threshold amount of DNA, the 
criminalist  will  move  onto  the  third  step,  polymerase  chain  reaction  (“PCR”) 
amplification.  Id. at 15–16; United States v. Morgan, 53 F. Supp. 3d 732, 736 
(S.D.N.Y.  2014),  aff’d,  675  F.  App’x  53  (2d  Cir.  2017).    The  process  of  PCR 
amplification, which makes “millions and millions of copies of the DNA at the certain 
locations” needed for testing, O’Connor Deposition at 16, can result in random error, 
or “stochastic effects,” id. at 22–24.  Stochastic effects include: allelic dropout, where 

alleles fail to appear in the profile; allelic drop in, where alleles not originating from 
the principal donors show up in the DNA profile; and increased stutter, which is a 
biological artifact that takes place during the amplification process.  Id. at 24–26.  
After the amplification process, the DNA goes through a process called capillary 
electrophoresis, during which DNA fragments are separated out by size.  Id. at 16.  
OCME uses a genotyping or genetic analyzing program to visualize the results, and 

analysts can then interpret the results and make conclusions.  Id. at 16–17. 
   In this case, the DNA sample taken from the firearm contained two distinct 
characteristics relevant to its analysis.  First, it was below 100 pg, and second, no 
distinct (or “major”) DNA profile could be deduced from the sample.  Accordingly, the 
OCME used two specific tools to test and analyze the DNA sample: LCN and FST.   
        i.   Low Copy Number (“LCN”)                                    
   Dr. O’Connor explained that LCN is a term of art that refers to the analysis 
and interpretation of low-level samples of DNA.  O’Connor Deposition at 36.  LCN 
provides a “more sensitive way of analyzing lower amounts of DNA and applying 

modified interpretation procedures to account for” the increased stochastic effects 
that are expected with low samples of DNA.  Id.                           
   The court in Morgan provided the following overview of LCN testing:   
   OCME . . . uses its LCN DNA testing protocols when the amount of     
   source  material  is  less  than  100  picograms  (“pg”)  of  DNA,  as 
   distinguished  from  what  it  calls  high  copy  number  (“HCN”)  DNA 
   analysis, which uses samples containing more than 100 pg of DNA.  . . .  
   OCME’s LCN testing uses the same basic steps as HCN testing: (1)     
   extraction of DNA from the sample (e.g., blood, bone, hair, saliva, semen, 
   or skin cells), (2) quantitation of the amount of DNA extracted from the 
   sample, (3) amplification of the DNA using polymerase chain reaction 
   (“PCR”), and (4) analysis.  The primary differences between HCN and  
   LCN DNA testing are at the stages of amplification and analysis.     

   The  difference  in  the  amplification  step  is  that  HCN  DNA  testing 
   employs 28 “rounds” of PCR amplification whereas LCN DNA testing     
   employs  31  rounds.    The  small  quantity  of  starting  material  in 
   conjunction with the increased number of rounds of PCR can result in 
   an increase in “stochastic effects,” which are random errors that create 
   inaccuracies in DNA testing.                                         

Morgan, 53 F. Supp. 3d at 735–36 (footnote and citation omitted).         
   In addition to three additional cycles of amplification, OCME amplifies the low-
template sample in triplicate, meaning that it “take[s] the sample and put it in three 
different tubes for that amplification procedure.”  O’Connor Deposition at 39.   
   OCME developed the LCN method in-house.  It began performing validation 
studies — “the process through which a procedure is evaluated to determine its 
efficacy and reliability for forensic casework” — for its LCN DNA testing in 2003 and 
2004.  Morgan, 53 F. Supp. 3d. at 737.  In accordance with the guidelines created by 
the Scientific Working Group of DNA Analysis Methods (“SWGDAM”), OCME used 
known samples in performing validations.  Id. at 737–38.  In testing various single-
source DNA samples — that is, samples that contained (unlike in the instant case) 
DNA  from  a  single  contributor  —  OCME’s  analysts  successfully  determined  92 
percent of all alleles for samples containing between 150 and 25 pg.  Id. at 738.  When 
the quantity of DNA in the sample decreased below 25 pg, however, the accuracy rate 
decreased; OCME’s analysts successfully determined 77 percent and 51 percent of all 
expected alleles for single-source samples containing 12.5 and 6.25 pg, respectively.  
Id.  OCME also “performed LCN testing on mixture samples containing two DNA 
contributors,” with the goal of determining “whether OCME’s testing could accurately 

ascertain the DNA profile of the ‘major contributor’ — the contributor with the larger 
presence of DNA in the sample.”  Id.  Based on the results of these validation studies, 
“OCME  created  its  interpretation  guidelines,  intended  to  allow  for  consistent 
interpretation of LCN testing results by accounting for the presence of increased 
stochastic effects as the quantity of DNA decreases.”  Id.                
   In  2005,  the  DNA  Subcommittee  of  the  New  York  State  Commission  on 

Forensic  Science  (“the  Commission”)  approved  OCME’s  use  of  LCN  in  forensic 
casework.  Id. at 739.  Both prior to and following that approval, however, LCN’s 
reliability has been the subject of considerable debate among forensic DNA experts 
and numerous court challenges, both as to LCN’s general protocols and its application 
to the analysis of specific kinds of DNA samples that, these challengers contend, are 
especially difficult to interpret.   For example, New York’s highest court held in 2020 
that — notwithstanding the Commission’s approval in 2005 of LCN for use in forensic 

casework — a New York state trial court abused its discretion by declining to hold a 
Frye  hearing  to  fully  consider  a  criminal  defendant’s  challenge  to  OCME’s 
performance of LCN testing on a DNA mixture from at least two contributors.  People 
v. Williams, 35 N.Y.3d 24, 30–31, 38 (2020).  The Williams court noted, among other 
things, that the defendant had raised “sufficient questions regarding the general 
acceptance of LCN evidence, based on its lack of use by other laboratories, the absence 
of prior meaningful review, and the scientific article proffered by defendant regarding 
the reliability of the evidence for criminal prosecution” as to entitle him to a “have 
the People put to [their] burden” of affirmatively proving its admissibility.  Id. at 40.  

   Nearly  two  decades  after  its  development,  OCME  remains  the  only  DNA 
laboratory in the United States that uses LCN in forensic casework.  Krane Report 
at 18, ECF No. 234-12; United States v. Cortorreal, 668 F. Supp. 3d 309, 316 (S.D.N.Y. 
2023).  While the University of North Texas Health Science Center performs LCN 
testing, it only does so “for missing persons identification.”  Williams, 35 N.Y.3d at 
33. 1                                                                     

        ii.  Forensic Statistical Tool (“FST”)                          
   FST is a proprietary software developed by OCME.  OCME developed its FST 
software “to enable the calculation of likelihood ratios (LRs) for samples involving 
two-  and  three-person  mixtures  where  parts  or  all  of the  contributors  are  non-
deducible,” meaning that “no distinct DNA profile can be determined.”  O’Connor 
Summary of Testimony at 10.  “FST can be used when a DNA analyst compares a 
reference profile with the profile or profiles contained in what has previously been 


   1 In an apparent attempt at rebranding, at some point OCME began to refer to 
LCN not as “low copy number” testing but instead as “high sensitivity testing.”  
O’Connor Deposition at 36.   But as the great songwriter Dolly Parton noted in the 
different (and far more familiar) context of recovering from heartbreak, simply using 
an opposite adjective to describe a phenomenon does not  change its underlying 
reality.  See Dolly Parton, The Grass Is Blue on The Grass is Blue (Sugar Hill Records 
1999) (“I just can't make it/one day without you/Unless I pretend that the opposite's 
true/Rivers flow backwards/Valleys are high/Mountains are level/Truth is a lie/I'm 
perfectly  fine/And  I  don't  miss  you/The  sky  is  green/And  the  grass  is  blue”).  
Consistent with other courts that have discussed this form of testing, the Court uses 
the term Low Copy Number, or LCN.                                         
determined to be either a two- or three-person mixture from a forensic sample.”  Id. 
at 12.  However, “FST is not validated for use in casework where the number of 
contributors is estimated to be greater than three.”  Id. at 12 n.1.      

   To calculate a likelihood ratio, the analyst inputs what he or she has concluded 
is the likely number of contributors to the mixture into the FST tool.  O’Connor 
Deposition at 48–49.  Accordingly, the analyst must first review the data from the 
underlying DNA test results and estimate the number of contributors in the DNA 
sample.  Id. at 47–49, 50.  While “the true number of contributors will always be 
unknown in [a] casework sample,” id. at 59, a team of OCME scientists undertook a 

controlled study “[t]o develop guidelines to estimate the number of contributors to 
two-, three- and four-person mixtures containing either high template DNA [] or low 
templated DNA [] amounts,” Perez et al., Estimating the number of contributors to 
two-, three-, and four-person mixtures containing DNA in high template and low 
template amounts (the “Perez et al. Study”) at 1, ECF No. 234-6.  To do this, the 
authors  created  728  “purposeful”  mixtures  of  blood  or  buccal  samples  from 
combinations of two, three, and four persons in amounts ranging from 10 to 500 pg, 

id. — that is, they intentionally created mixtures of DNA at various quantities of 
DNA and with the actual number of contributors known — so that they could study 
the properties of the DNA data generated when these hundreds of mixed samples 
were tested.  The OCME researchers then noted the number of alleles in each of those 
mixtures and identified characteristics that were common to many of the mixtures of 
three and four persons.  Id. at 1, 5.  Those findings are set out in Table 2 of the Perez 
et al. Study and below. 
    TABLE 2. Characteristics of three- and four-person high template DNA (HT-DNA) and low template DNA (LT-DNA) mixtures* 
    □ Persons                                   >43 Persons 
    22 loci with 25 repeating alleles                        22 loci with 27 repeating alleles 
    2? different loci with &5 alleles in one replicate (HT-DNA)           23 loci with 26 repeating alleles 
    26 (LT-ONA) or 8 (HT-DNA) loci with 24 repeating alleles            26 loci with 25 repeating alleles 
    |  bocus with 25 repeating alleles and =1 (HT-DNA) or 2 (LT-DNA)        212 {HT-OMA) or 13 (LT-ONA) loci with 24 repeating alleles 
    other loci with 25 different alleles 
    2] locus with 7 different alleles                         2? loci with 2? different alleles 
    2? loci with 6 different alleles                          23 (HT-DNA) or 5 (LT- DNA) loci with 26 different alleles 
    | locus with 6 different  alleles and 23 loci with 5 different alleles (LT-DNA)  27 (HT-DNA) or 8 (LT-DNA) loci with 25 different alleles 
    4 (HT-DNA) of 5 (LT-DONA) loci with 25 different  alleles            213 loci with 24 different alleles 
    28 loci with 24 different alleles*                         not applicable 
Id. at 5. 
    The OCME incorporated portions of the research from the Perez et al. Study 
into its protocols for estimating the number of contributors to  a DNA mixture, which 
its analysts follow before those conclusions are entered into  FST.  Specifically,  its 
protocols  for  STR  analysis  dated January  12,  2012  state  that  low  template  DNA 
samples “are considered three-person mixtures as follows: i. Five alleles are present 
in at least two loci in the consensus profile.  ii. Stutter and other explainable artifacts 
should  be  considered  when  counting  the  number  of  alleles  at  a  locus.  ©  iii. 
Inconsistencies  among  the  replicates  may  indicate  the  presence  of  a  third 
contributor.”  Jan. 12, 2012 FST Protocols at 7, ECF No. 234-7.  The protocols go on 
to state that “[flor some three-person mixtures additional criteria may be explored,” 
and then set forth two tables adapted from Table 2 from the Perez et al. Study and 
note  that in the  study,  the  characteristics  in those  tables  “were  only  observed in 
controlled mixtures with more than two contributors.”  Id. 
    In addition to determining the estimated number of contributors, the analyst 
must manually determine if the individual who is the source of the reference sample

(usually referred to as the “suspect” or “defendant” in forensic casework) is a possible 
contributor to the mixture.  O’Connor Summary of Testimony at 12.  FST then 
calculates a “likelihood ratio,” or LR.  An LR “considers the probability of two separate 

hypotheses being true.  Hypothesis A is the probability that the mixture contains the 
suspect’s DNA.  Hypothesis B considers the probability that the suspect is not a 
contributor to the mixture.”  Id.2                                        
   FST is only intended to determine the likelihood of a particular outcome, and 
it “refines its estimate by taking into account several important factors including the 
drop-in/drop-out rates, and the possibility that the alleles in the sample could have 

been provided from another individual in the population based on estimated allele 
and genotypic frequencies.”  Id.  OCME also offers an interpretation of the strength 
or weakness of its calculation: if the likelihood ratio is “less than 10, it is considered 
to provide ‘limited support’ for the prosecution’s hypothesis; results of 10-100 show 
‘moderate support,’ 100-1,000 show ‘strong support,’ and more than 1,000 show ‘very 
strong support’ for the prosecution’s hypothesis.”  United States v. Jones, 965 F.3d 
149, 155 (2d Cir. 2020); Adams Report at 36, ECF No. 234-16.              


   2  The  Court  here  pauses  to  note  that because  such  testing  is  most  often 
conducted  in  ongoing  criminal  investigations,  and  the  individual  whose  DNA  is 
submitted for reference is often a person suspected and/or convicted of a crime, 
OCME’s experts and various court decisions discussing LR methodology typically 
refer to these opposing hypotheses as “the prosecution’s hypothesis” (in which the 
person’s  DNA  is  present  in  the  mixture)  and  “the  defendant’s”  or  “suspect’s” 
hypothesis (in which the person is not a contributor to the DNA).  In this civil case, 
the parties are the Plaintiff, Michael Walker (whose hypothesis is that he is not a 
donor to the mixture of DNA swabbed from this firearm) and the Defendants, two 
individual officers and their employer, the City of New York (whose hypothesis is that 
Plaintiff is a donor to this DNA mixture).                                
   In  December  2010,  the  New  York  State  Commission  on  Forensic  Science 
approved the use of FST.  O’Connor Summary of Testimony at 12.  In 2017, OCME 
replaced FST with more advanced software developed since FST came online, and no 

longer uses FST to perform statistical calculations in forensic casework.  O’Connor 
Summary of Testimony at 11; O’Connor Deposition at 206.  However, Dr. O’Connor 
contends  that  “OCME  continues  to  stand  by  the  validity  of  its  FST  analysis.”  
O’Connor Summary of Testimony at 11.                                      
II.  DNA Testing in Instant Case                                        
   In  this  42  U.S.C.  §  1983  action,  Plaintiff  Michael  Walker  alleges  that 

Defendants, NYPD Officers Gregory Gordon and Michael Smith, used excessive force 
against him when they shot and injured him on February 2, 2013.  Compl., ECF No. 
1.  While Plaintiff contends that he was unarmed when he encountered the officers, 
Defendants dispute that claim and argue that they shot Plaintiff after observing him 
with a firearm, under circumstances that they claim justified their use of such force.   
   A crime scene unit recovered a firearm on the street where Plaintiff was shot, 
and OCME analyzed a DNA sample that was taken from its trigger and trigger guard.  

OCME subjected the sample to two analyses.  First, in or about August 2013, an 
OCME   Level  II  criminalist,  using  OCME  protocols  including  LCN  testing, 
determined that (1) the firearm sample was 22.35 pg in quantity; (2) it was best 
described as a two-person mixture; and (3) it was suitable for comparison to suspected 
contributors.  Pl. Mem. in Supp. at 4–5, ECF No. 234-1.  Plaintiff contends that the 
criminalist’s  conclusion  as  to  the  number  of  contributors  was  apparently  in 
accordance with OCME protocols because two loci had three or more repeating alleles 
and no loci contained five or more repeating alleles.  Id at 18–19.       
   Second, in or about February 2014, the OCME criminalist used FST on the 

sample  to  determine  a  likelihood  ratio.    The  criminalist  concluded  that  it  was 
“approximately 14,200 times more probable if the sample originated from Michael 
Walker and one unknown, unrelated person than if it originated from two unknown, 
unrelated  persons.”    Feb.  28,  2014  OCME  Report  at  1,  ECF  No.  239-3.      The 
criminalist thus determined that there was “very strong support” that Plaintiff and 
one  unknown,  unrelated  person  contributed  to  the  mixture,  rather  than  two 

unknown, unrelated persons.  Id.                                          
   Defendants seek to admit this evidence in support of their theory that Plaintiff 
was armed during the February 2, 2013 incident.  Defendants agree that OCME’s 
testing  on  this  low-template,  mixed  DNA  sample  did  not  conclusively  identify 
Plaintiff as a donor to the DNA swabbed from the firearm.  But they maintain that 
OCME’s testing and statistical analysis provides reliable evidence that they should 
be able to offer in support of their position on this disputed factual issue.   

   On August 14, 2024, Plaintiff filed a motion to preclude the introduction of 
evidence generated by the OCME on this sample under Federal Rules of Evidence 
403 and 702.  Pl. Mot. to Preclude, ECF No. 234.  Defendants filed a response in 
opposition on August 23, 2024.  Opp’n Br., ECF No. 239.  While neither party 
requested to have their experts testify at an in-person Daubert hearing, they each 
submitted detailed briefing and an extensive array of exhibits regarding the testing 
methodologies used and the conclusions reached by OCME in this case for the Court’s 
review,  including  expert  witness  reports,  scientific  articles,  published  and 
unpublished records of similar court proceedings, and deposition testimony.  On 

September 4, 2024, the Court held a four-hour oral argument on the parties’ pre-trial 
motions, the majority of which was devoted to argument on Plaintiff’s motion to 
preclude the DNA evidence.                                                
                      LEGAL STANDARD                                    
   Federal  Rule  of  Evidence  702  allows  admission  of  an  expert  witness’s 
testimony                                                                 

   if the proponent demonstrates to the court that it is more likely than not 
   that: (a) the expert’s scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge 
   will help the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a 
   fact in issue; (b) the testimony is based on sufficient facts or data; (c) the 
   testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods; and (d) the 
   expert’s  opinion  reflects  a  reliable  application  of  the  principles  and 
   methods to the facts of the case.                                    
Fed. R. Evid. 702.  Importantly, “[w]hile the proponent of expert testimony has the 
burden of establishing by a preponderance of the evidence that the admissibility 
requirements of Rule 702 are satisfied, the district court is the ultimate ‘gatekeeper,’” 
and must determine that the expert’s testimony “both rests on a reliable foundation 
and is relevant to the task at hand.” United States v. Williams, 506 F.3d 151, 160 (2d 
Cir. 2007) (citations omitted).                                           
   In Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 509 U.S. 579 (1993), the 
Supreme Court “enumerated a list of factors that, while not constituting a ‘definitive 
checklist or a test,’ a district court might consider in evaluating whether a proffered 
expert opinion has the required indicia of scientific reliability” under Rule 702.  
Nimely v. City of New York, 414 F.3d 381, 396 (2d Cir. 2005) (quoting Daubert, 509 
U.S. at 593–94).  Those factors include whether (1) a theory or technique can be and 
has been tested; (2) it has been subjected to peer review and publication; (3) there is 

a high known or potential rate of error and there are standards controlling the 
technique’s operation; and (4) the theory or technique enjoys general acceptance 
within a relevant scientific community.  Kumho Tire Co. v. Carmichael, 526 U.S. 137, 
149–50 (1999).                                                            
   However, the Daubert factors “neither necessarily nor exclusively appl[y] to all 
experts or in every case,” and “the district court’s inquiry into the reliability of expert 

testimony under Rule 702 is a ‘flexible one.’”  Williams, 506 F.3d at 160 (citations 
omitted).  The law thus “grants a district court the same broad latitude when it 
decides how to determine reliability as it enjoys in respect to its ultimate reliability 
determination.”  Id. (emphasis in original).   “In addition to the requirements of Rule 
702, expert testimony is subject to Rule 403.”  Nimely, 414 F.3d at 397.  Accordingly, 
such evidence may be excluded “if its probative value is substantially outweighed by 
a danger of one or more of the following: unfair prejudice, confusing the issues, 

misleading the jury, undue delay, wasting time, or needlessly presenting cumulative 
evidence.”  Fed. R. Evid. 403.                                            
   A court’s obligation to ensure that the proponent of expert testimony has met 
its burden does not evaporate simply because that testimony concerns the well-
regarded science of DNA analysis.  As the New York Court of Appeals recently 
emphasized,                                                               
   In the criminal justice system, [genetic biology] has provided forensic 
   science with one of the most powerful tools for identification yet seen.  
   DNA testing has become the ‘gold standard’ of this process.  For this 
   reason, more than any other, courts must use the tools available to make 
   sure the highest standards of reliability are maintained.            

Williams, 35 N.Y.3d at 29.                                                
   The prejudice that may result from the admission of insufficiently reliable 
methods of DNA testing and analysis is also well understood.  That is particularly so 
as DNA laboratories attempt to test and analyze ever-more-minute quantities of 
evidence, ones that may include complex, difficult-to-interpret mixtures of DNA from 
multiple contributors.  Further, as the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and 
Technology (“PCAST”) noted in 2016, in an exhaustive and at times highly critical 
review of the scientific foundations of a range of forensic disciplines as currently 
employed  in  the  criminal  justice  system,  “testimony  based  on  forensic  feature-
comparison  methods  poses  unique  dangers  of  misleading  jurors”  as  “[t]he  vast 
majority of jurors have no independent ability to interpret the probative value of 
results,” and “[t]he potential prejudicial impact is unusually high, because jurors are 
likely to overestimate the probative value of a ‘match’ between samples.”  Executive 
Office  of  the  President  PCAST,  Forensic  Science  in  Criminal  Courts:  Ensuring 
Scientific  Validity  of  Feature-Comparison  Methods,  45  (Sept.  2016), 
https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/PCAST/pcas
t_forensic_science_report_final.pdf (the “PCAST Report”).                 
   The admission of insufficiently validated or otherwise unreliable applications 
of DNA testing and analysis poses additional risks.  That is because, despite a 
common assumption that DNA evidence is infallible, inherent subjectivity pervades 
“even the most favorable conditions of forensic DNA typing.”  Erin Murphy, The Art 
in the Science of DNA: A Layperson’s Guide to the Subjectivity Inherent in Forensic 

DNA Typing, 58 Emory L. J. 489, 509 (2008).3  Those concerns have particular 
resonance where, as here, the proffered evidence is a mixture of DNA from multiple 
individuals, and the sum total of DNA present in that mixed sample is extremely low.  
Indeed,                                                                   
   The fundamental difference between DNA analysis of complex mixture   
   samples and DNA analysis of single-source and simple mixtures lies not 
   in the laboratory processing, but in the interpretation of the resulting 
   DNA profile.                                                         

   DNA analysis of complex mixtures is inherently difficult.  Such samples 
   result in a DNA profile that superimposes multiple individual DNA    
   profiles.    Interpreting  a  mixed  profile  is  different  from  and  more 
   challenging than interpreting a simple profile, for many reasons.  It is 
   often impossible to tell with certainty which genetic variants are present 
   in the mixture or how many separate individuals contributed to the   
   mixture, let alone accurately to infer the DNA profile of each one.  

PCAST Report. supra at 7–8; see also id. at 75–76 (explaining numerous factors that 
make it difficult for analysts to reliably interpret mixed-donor DNA samples, and why 
those factors are “even more [present] for small amounts of DNA”).        

   3 Readers who lack formal scientific training or who are otherwise less than 
familiar with some of the specific interpretive challenges that arise in the context of 
modern DNA analysis may wish to review Professor Murphy’s excellent essay in full.  
It includes, inter alia, cogent explanations of the  challenges that arise in DNA 
interpretation through analogies to other contexts that are more familiar to non-
scientists, and also explains why “the use of DNA typing to inculpate a person . . . 
fundamentally differs from its use to exculpate.”  Murphy, supra at 493.  For a more 
detailed treatment of these and related topics, see also Erin E. Murphy, Inside the 
Cell; The Dark Side of Forensic DNA (2015).                               
   Accordingly,  as  with  any  other  scientific  evidence  whose  admission  is 
challenged by an opposing party, the proponent’s use of DNA evidence and the specific 
conclusions offered by its DNA experts must be screened for scientific validity and 

reliability.    This  requires  courts  to  determine,  among  other  things,  whether 
foundational principles of scientific validity support the DNA expert testimony being 
offered.    As  with  other  disciplines,  to  constitute  valid  and  reliable  science,  the 
methods of DNA testing or analysis at issue must be “subjected to empirical testing, 
under conditions appropriate to its intended use, that provides valid estimates of how 
often the method reaches an incorrect conclusion.”  Id. at 46.            

                        DISCUSSION                                      
   Plaintiff makes five arguments in support of his motion to preclude the DNA 
evidence in this case: (1) the methodologies used by OCME have not been shown to  
be a reliable means of accurately determining the number of contributors to low-level 
mixtures of DNA such as the firearm sample at issue here; (2) FST has not been 
sufficiently validated for mixtures of DNA whose total quantitation is 25 pg or below; 
(3) OCME’s conclusion that there is “very strong support” for the hypothesis that 

Plaintiff  and  an  unknown  person  contributed  to  the  firearm  is  misleading  and 
unfairly prejudicial; (4) the DNA testing should be excluded in light of OCME’s failure 
to compute a likelihood ratio as to a second individual (the “confidential source”), from 
whom a DNA reference sample was also submitted for testing; and (5) FST’s design 
and development were flawed, resulting in a software program that does not comport 
with accepted methodologies of software engineering.                      
   For the reasons to follow, the Court agrees with Plaintiff’s first argument — 
namely,  that  Defendants  have  failed  to  demonstrate  the  reliability  of  OCME’s 
methods for estimating the number of contributors to a mixed sample whose total 

quantity of DNA is below 25 pg.  The DNA evidence and expert testimony that 
Defendants seek to offer in this case — OCME’s interpretation of the DNA data in 
that sample, and its opinions as to the statistical likelihood that Plaintiff is (or is not) 
one of the contributors — are thus unreliable.  Accordingly, the Court need not reach 
Plaintiff’s remaining challenges to the admissibility of this evidence.   
I.   Reliability of OCME’s Protocols for Estimating Contributors to a   
     Mixture                                                            
   Plaintiff argues that the FST “requires the OCME examiner to input the 
number of contributors to the DNA it is analyzing: one, two or three,” but no entity 
“has  ever  validated  the  protocols  the  OCME  uses  to  estimate  the  number  of 
contributors for samples that, as here, are quantitated at 25 [pg] and below.”  Pl. 
Mem. in Supp. at 12.  The Court agrees.                                   

   As an initial matter, other than the Perez et al. Study, which appeared to 
develop  and  test  aspects  of  the  protocols  that  OCME  relies  on  for  estimating 
contributors, Defendants have failed to point to any validation studies that have 
tested the accuracy or reliability of their methods for estimating the number of 
contributors to an extremely low-level (under 25 pg) DNA sample like this one.  When 
asked whether he was “aware of other research that has been conducted to identify if 

the characteristics used by OCME to differentiate two-person from a three-person, or 
even a four-person sample, in fact reliably do so,” Dr. O’Connor replied that he could 
not think of any “off the top of [his] head.”  O’Connor Deposition at 126–27.  At oral 
argument, the Court reiterated this question to defense counsel, who confirmed that 
they are not aware of any other studies that have tested OCME’s ability to accurately 

identify the number of contributors using its current protocols for samples below 50 
pg.  Nor did Defendants identify any such studies or data in their post-argument 
submissions.  See Letter dated Sept. 7 at 1, 2024, ECF No. 251.           
   Instead, Defendants ask the Court to rely on the general validation studies for 
LCN and FST.  They contend that “OCME’s protocols for estimating the number of 
contributors to a DNA mixture were documented in the validation materials turned 

over to the NYS Commission on Forensic Science DNA Subcommittee, as part of the 
approval process for OCME’s LCN testing protocols.”  Id.  But as the New York Court 
of  Appeals  recognized  in  Williams,  35  N.Y.3d  at  41,  the  DNA  Subcommittee’s 
approval — while relevant to the general acceptance inquiry — “is no substitute for 
the scrutiny of the relevant scientific community.”  The Williams court reasoned that 
sole reliance “on the Subcommittee’s approval as dispositive of the general acceptance 
would  []  supplant  the  courts’  obligation  to  ensure,  under  Frye,  that  scientific 

techniques and methods are sufficiently reliable to be admitted into evidence.”  Id.  
Accordingly,  the  court  determined  that  the  trial  court  abused  its  discretion  by 
admitting DNA evidence where LCN and FST were used without a Frye hearing.  Id.  
at 29–30.                                                                 
   While the Williams court reached this conclusion in the context of a Frye, 
rather  than  Daubert  analysis,  the  Court  finds  persuasive  the  Williams  court’s 
conclusion that the DNA Subcommittee’s approval cannot, on its own, demonstrate 
the reliability of a scientific technique.  That is particularly so where, as here, 
Defendants point to no evidence that, in considering whether to approve OCME’s use 

of LCN and FST more generally, the DNA Subcommittee ever considered whether 
those methods of estimating the number of contributors could be validly applied to a 
mixed sample of 25 pg or below, including where, as here, the mixture could not be 
deconvoluted.                                                             
   On the other hand, Plaintiff argues that the findings of the Perez et al. Study 
bear heavily on the specific question posed in this case.  That study indeed appears 

to be the only controlled study testing OCME’s ability to reliably estimate the number 
of contributors to a mixed DNA sample using the methodologies employed here (LCN 
and FST).  As discussed supra at 8–9, the authors of that study created 728 purposeful 
mixtures of two-, three- and four-person mixtures and then noted the number of 
alleles in the mixtures and compiled certain characteristics — as reflected in Table 2 
of the study — that were common among three- and four-person samples.  Perez et 
al.  Study  at  5.    The  authors  then  evaluated  whether  the  observed  mixture 

characteristics were present in 117 mixtures generated from items handled by two, 
three, and four individuals.  Id. at 5, 11.                               
   The Perez et al. Study makes clear that the criteria the authors identified as 
indicative of two-, three-, and four-person mixtures — many of which were which 
were subsequently incorporated into OCME’s protocols — were substantially less 
reliable predictors when applied to low template DNA samples.  For example, while 
“template amounts less than 25 pg were not amplified for three-person mixtures,” id. 
at 10, the study states that several 25 pg three-person mixtures did not meet the 
Table 2 criteria for a three-person mixture, id. at 8.  Additionally, only 25 of the 50 

low template DNA “four-person samples looked like four-person samples by the total 
number of different alleles labeled and/or by the patterns listed in Table 2,” and “the 
vast majority of the samples that did not meet the four-person criteria contained less 
than 50 pg of template DNA.”  Id. at 10.                                  
   Moreover, while the results of the study suggest “that samples with 49 or fewer 
alleles are best described as two-person mixtures, with 52 to 59 alleles as three-

person mixtures, and with 65 or more alleles as four-person mixtures,” id. at 5, 
“[m]ixtures with template amounts of 10 pg and 15 pg made with DNA from 4 
contributors contained 33-51 different alleles suggesting that there was so much drop 
out that they were actually composed of fewer than 4 persons,” id. at 10.  Additionally, 
of the sixteen four-person samples that were amplified with 20 to 40 pg of template 
DNA, none “showed more than 66 different alleles and only 2 would be called four-
person mixtures by the criteria in Table 2.”  Id.  In other words, at least some of the 

samples under 25 pg that were known by the study’s authors to contain DNA from 
four persons yielded so little DNA data that they appeared to have fewer contributors 
than they actually did.  The study also notes that the number of alleles in four-person 
samples “var[ies] dramatically depending upon the template amount for samples with 
less than 50 pg.”  Id. at 6.                                              
   By contrast, the Perez et al. Study indicates that the criteria the authors 
identified for estimating contributors are more reliable with higher template DNA 
amounts.  For example, the study notes that “[f]our-person mixtures with at least 50 
pg of template DNA presented fewer challenges.”  Id. at 10.  Unlike the samples with 

20 to 40 pg of template DNA, where at least one contributor to 15 of the 16 samples 
was missing more than two alleles, none of the contributors to 24 of the 30 four-person 
mixtures with at least 50 pg of template DNA was missing two or more alleles.  Id.   
   The study’s authors summarized that, overall, “[u]sing the total number of 
different alleles and the characteristics listed in Table 2, 86% of all [high template] 
DNA and 75%-77% of all 50-100 pg [low template] DNA four-person purposeful 

mixtures resembled four-person mixtures.”  Id.  at 12.  Importantly, however, this 
“was not the case for almost all of the samples with less than 50 pg of template DNA.”  
Id.  Rather, for this under-50-pg category of four-person samples (a/k/a the “very low 
template” samples), the reliability of the characteristics used by OCME to determine 
the number of contributors fell dramatically.  For “[w]hen the profiles of the true 
contributors were examined, the very low template samples showed extreme drop-
out and could better be described as three-person or even two-person mixtures.”  Id.   

   Despite these varied results for samples below 100 pg, OCME continues to 
apply the same protocols for estimating contributors for all low template (i.e., below 
100 pg) samples, regardless whether those samples are 50 pg, 25 pg, or below.  See 
Jan. 12, 2012 FST Protocols at 6–8.                                       
   Taken together, the results from the Perez et al. Study and the otherwise 
limited validation of this aspect of OCME’s DNA testing and interpretation protocols 
demonstrate that OCME’s methods for estimating the number of contributors for 
DNA samples below 25 pg lack the required indicia of scientific reliability under 
Daubert.4  That is, the technique has been subject to limited testing, peer review, and 

publication.  And the testing that has been conducted indicates that the technique 
carries a high rate of error when, as here, it is applied to DNA samples below 25 pg.   
II.  Impact of OCME’s Determination of Number of Contributors on its    
     Likelihood Ratio Calculation                                       

   In addition to showing that OCME’s methods for estimating contributors to a 
DNA mixture below 25 pg is unreliable as a general matter, Plaintiff casts doubt on 
the OCME’s conclusion that the DNA sample swabbed from the firearm in this case 
was a two-, rather than three- (or more) person mixture.                  
   The OCME laboratory report dated August 29, 2013 states that “[a] mixture of 
DNA from at least two people was found” for the firearm sample.  Krane Report at 2.  
However, Plaintiff’s expert, Dr. Dan Krane, independently reviewed OCME’s testing 
data and reached a different conclusion.  According to Dr. Krane, the fact that across 
all three sets of genotyping results for the firearm sample, five different alleles are 
observed at two loci, indicates that there were at least three contributors to the 
sample.  Id. at 7.  And while four alleles were observed at the FGA locus, Plaintiff has 
a 26 allele at that locus, which was not observed in any results at the FGA locus.  Id.  
Accordingly, if Plaintiff had been a contributor, his allele at the FGA locus would have 


   4 As indicated, there is substantial evidence in the record indicating that 
OCME’s methods are unreliable for estimating contributors to samples 50 pg in 
quantity or less.  However, given that the DNA sample here was below 25 pg, the 
Court need not decide the outer parameters of this method’s reliability.   
had to drop out in each of the three separate rounds of DNA testing conducted by 
OCME on this sample.  And according to Dr. Krane, if Plaintiff’s DNA had been 
present in the sample, the FGA locus would have contained at least five alleles (i.e., 

indicating the presence of DNA from more than two donors).  Id.  It is thus Dr. Krane’s 
opinion that “the simplest explanation of the genotyping results” of the firearm 
sample “is that it is a partial profile of DNA from three (or more) contributors.”  Id. 
at 10.                                                                    
   Defendants attempt to evade preclusion of the DNA evidence by arguing that, 
even  if  Plaintiff  is  correct  and  the  sample  actually  contains  three  (or  more) 

contributors, any underestimation of the number of contributors typically results in 
the lowest possible likelihood ratio.  This scenario, they argue, would benefit Plaintiff, 
because — even though OCME never calculated the actual LR for this scenario — the 
likelihood that Plaintiff and two unknown persons are contributors to the DNA 
sample would likely be even higher than the 1 in 14,200 LR that OCME generated 
using FST with its two-donor assumption.  Opp’n Br. at 28.5               



   5 Defendants also attempt to undermine Plaintiff’s critique of this methodology 
by arguing that the number of true contributors to a forensic sample can never be 
known.  This is a red herring.  “Admissibility under Rule 702 does not require perfect 
methodology.”  Hollman v. Taser Int’l Inc., 928 F. Supp. 2d 657, 669 (E.D.N.Y. 2013) 
(quoting Best v. Lowe’s Home Ctrs., Inc., 563 F.3d 171, 181 (6th Cir. 2009)).  Rather, 
the expert testimony “need only rest on a reliable foundation that is relevant to the 
task at hand.”  Hart v. Rick’s Cabaret Int’l, Inc., 60 F. Supp. 3d 447, 467 (S.D.N.Y. 
2014).    Defendants  have  not  met  their  burden  of  showing  reliability  of  the 
methodology as applied to this particular DNA sample because they have failed to 
show that such a reliable foundation exists when it comes to OCME’s methods for 
estimating contributors (and the resulting likelihood ratio) to a mixed DNA sample 
of 25 pg or below.                                                        
   However, the parties’ experts agree “that the effect on the [likelihood ratio] 
within FST is not specifically known when the number of contributors assigned to a 
sample is an underestimate of the true value.”  O’Connor Response at 6, ECF No. 

234-2 (emphasis supplied).  Defendants cite studies indicating that an underestimate 
of contributors may lead to a lower likelihood ratio — but Plaintiff cites cases and 
studies supporting the opposite conclusion.  Moreover, certain evidence cited by 
Plaintiff  demonstrates  the  substantial  prejudice  that  can  result  when  OCME 
underestimates the number of contributors to a mixed DNA sample.          
   For  example,  in  United  States  v.  Cortorreal,  17-cr-438  (S.D.N.Y.),  the 

government sought to introduce evidence of DNA analysis using FST on a sample 
taken from a swab from a piece of duct tape which the OCME initially concluded was 
best described as a three-person mixture.  See Gov’t Opp’n to Mot. to Exclude at 4, 
United States v. Cortorreal, 17-cr-428 (S.D.N.Y. Sept. 7, 2021), ECF No. 644.  Under 
that assumption, FST generated a likelihood ratio in excess of 10,000.  Id.  The 
remainder of the swab was later re-run using newer technology, STRMix — at which 
time the analyst concluded that the sample should instead be characterized as a 

mixture of four persons.  Letter to the Court, United States v. Cortorreal, 17-cr-438 
(S.D.N.Y. Feb. 23, 2023), ECF No. 773.  Under the assumption that the sample was 
a four-person mixture, the OCME determined that “the likelihood ratio was in the 
uninformative range.”  Id.  The fact that increasing OCME’s estimate of the number 
of contributors from three to four in a mixed sample in Cortorreal resulted in such a 
dramatic decrease in the likelihood ratio — from one in more than 10,000, all the way 
down to “uninformative” — is powerful evidence that underestimating the number of 
contributors to a low-template DNA sample may not just be incorrect; it may be 
highly prejudicial to a suspect when the likelihood ratio is calculated.6  Id.  Plaintiff 

also cites an article that describes a case study involving two suspects who both 
denied committing the offense in question, and in which a likelihood ratio for one of 
the  suspects  was  “much  larger  if  two  contributors  are  analyzed”  than  three 
contributors.  Gill & Haned, A new methodological framework to interpret complex 
DNA profiles using likelihood ratios (“Gill Article”) at 6, ECF No. 234-13.   
   Given the very real possibility that an erroneous estimation of contributors 

could taint an FST-generated likelihood ratio, and that the impact of such errors 
would not be “conservative,” Defendants have not met their burden of demonstrating 
the reliability of OCME’s conclusions in this case.                       
   Plaintiff also emphasizes the possibility that there were four contributors to 
the mixture.  Were that the case, the use of FST — which has not been validated for 
use where the number of contributors is estimated to be greater than three — would 
have been unsupported.  While Dr. Krane does not highlight specific characteristics 

of the firearm sample that are consistent with a four-person sample, the Perez et al. 

   6 After the aforementioned retesting, the government decided not to offer the 
DNA evidence from the duct tape swab.  In a subsequent opinion, the court in 
Cortorreal, 668 F. Supp. 3d at 316, held that LCN DNA test results on a different 
piece of evidence were admissible where (unlike in the instant case) OCME was able 
to deconvolute a major donor profile.  Id. at 316, 319.  The court noted that it 
“remain[ed] troubled by certain aspects of OCME’s methodology for determining the 
number of contributors to non-deconvolutable mixtures,” but declined to reach the 
admissibility of such evidence because the government withdrew the DNA evidence 
from the non-deconvolutable mixture.   Id. at 321 n.18.                   
Study  makes  clear  that many  of  the  four-person  samples  under  50  pg  “showed 
extreme drop-out and could better be described as three-person or even two-person 
mixtures.”  Perez et al. Study at 12.  Plaintiff also points out that the overall number 

of alleles detected in the firearm sample is 45, which is similar to the 48 alleles 
detected in another extremely low DNA template (15 pg) four-person sample in the 
Perez et al. Study.  Id. at 6, Figure 3.  In light of those results, and the well-recognized 
principle that stochastic effects increase with lower amounts of DNA, see O’Connor 
Deposition at 25–26, the possibility of a fourth contributor to this sample cannot be 
dismissed as merely remote or speculative.  That possibility further favors exclusion 

of the DNA evidence in this case.                                         
III.  Other Courts’ Treatment of LCN and FST                            
   Finally,  Defendants  contend  that  the  DNA  evidence  should  be  admitted 
because “plaintiff points to no case where a Court has sustained a Daubert challenge 
to evidence of an FST analysis of low-template DNA.”  Opp’n Br. at 22.  But while 
that may be true, Defendants point to no case where a Court has denied a Daubert 
challenge in this context.  In other words, Defendants have identified no case in which 

any court has found that that an FST-generated likelihood ratio produced from a 
mixed sample of 25 pg of DNA or less is sufficiently reliable under Daubert to be 
admitted into evidence at trial.  Moreover, the cases on which Defendants rely to 
contend that “the vast majority of courts to have considered challenges to” LCN and 
FST “have admitted the evidence” are materially distinguishable.  Id. at 23.   
   To start, Defendants cite United States v. Jones, No. 15-cr-153, 2018 WL 
2684101 (S.D.N.Y. June 5, 2018), aff’d, 965 F.3d 149 (2d Cir. 2020).  In that case, the 
defendant moved to exclude evidence of OCME’s conclusion, through its use of FST, 
that the data obtained from a DNA mixture “is approximately 1340 times more 

probable if the sample originated from [defendant] and two unknown, unrelated 
persons than if it originated from three unknown, unrelated persons.”  Id. at *6 
(emphasis omitted).  The court concluded that “expert testimony on the FST in this 
case rests on a reliable foundation and is relevant to the task at hand” and denied the 
defendant’s motion.  Id. at *12.  However, that holding has no bearing on the instant 
analysis because (1) the court did not address OCME’s protocols for estimating the 

number of contributors, and (2) there is no indication that the testing in Jones 
involved a low-template DNA sample, nor that OCME used LCN to test and analyze 
the data from that sample.                                                
   Next, Defendants point to Morgan, 53 F. Supp. 3d at 736, 747, wherein the 
court rejected a defendant’s challenge to OCME’s use of LCN testing on a 14 pg 
sample of DNA.  The defendant lodged numerous objections to the reliability of the 
evidence, including that the analyst incorrectly concluded that the sample contained 

DNA from two or more contributors.  Id. at 746.  In defendant’s view, the sample was 
more accurately described as containing DNA from three or more people, and because 
OCME’s mixture validation studies tested samples with only two contributors, the 
analysis of this sample was unreliable.  Id. at 745.  The court disagreed with that 
argument because OCME’s protocols “give analysts discretion in determining the 
number of contributors,” and the determination of the number of contributors in that 
case “was clearly within the analyst’s permissible discretion and consistent with 
OCME’s protocols.”  Id. at 745–46.                                        
   However,  in  Morgan,  unlike  here,  OCME  was  able  to  discern  a  major 

contributor from the mixture; thus, it did not rely on FST to reach a conclusion 
regarding the key issue of what statistical weight (if any) the jury should give to the 
prosecution’s hypothesis that Morgan may have contributed to the DNA sample.7  
OCME’s determination regarding the number of contributors in Morgan was not 
nearly as critical to its ultimate conclusions as it is when OCME utilizes FST.   With 
FST, the determination of contributors is a critical input for calculating the likelihood 

ratio — which is “only as reliable as the predicate assumptions integrated into the 
FST  software  program.”    Williams,  35  N.Y.3d  at  52  (DiFiore,  C.J.,  concurring).  
Moreover, while the Second Circuit held that the Morgan court did not abuse its 
discretion in admitting this evidence, the Court took pains to emphasize that “LCN 
analysis is supported by significantly weaker evidence of reliability than traditional 
DNA analysis,” “express[ed] no opinion on the propriety of admitting the results of 
LCN testing in other cases,” and “note[d] that OCME is discontinuing its use of LCN 

testing in favor of newer technology.”  United States v. Morgan, 675 F. App’x 53, 55–
56 (2d Cir. 2017).  The Second Circuit’s opinion in Morgan is thus far from a ringing 


   7 The district court’s opinion does not mention whether OCME calculated a 
likelihood ratio, nor any other statistical measure through which the jury could assess 
the degree of scientific support for the prosecution’s hypothesis that Morgan was a 
donor to the DNA in question.  And the Second Circuit’s order noted only that OCME 
had  concluded  that  LCN  testing  “showed  the  presence  of  DNA  consistent  with 
Morgan's genetic profile” on the evidence tested.  Morgan, 675 F. App’x at 54. 
endorsement of LCN testing and, in any event, does not address the reliability of 
OCME’s methods where both LCN and FST are utilized.                       
   Defendants also rely on the recent decision by a trial court in Kings County to 

admit DNA evidence that used both LCN testing and FST in People v. Burrus, 200 
N.Y.S.3d 655, 731 (N.Y. Sup. Ct. 2023).  As an initial matter, the Burrus court 
considered whether the evidence was admissible under the Frye standard, which is 
solely concerned with whether the methodology is generally accepted in the relevant 
scientific community.  Id. at 714; Frye v. United States, 293 F. 1013 (D.C. Cir. 1923).  
By contrast, under Daubert, courts can consider a variety of factors, including but not 

limited  to  whether  the  technique  enjoys  general  acceptance  within  a  relevant 
scientific community, to aid its determination of whether the evidence is reliable.  
While some courts have described the Daubert standard as more “liberal,” Nimely, 
414 F.3d at 395–96, “[c]ommentators have extensively debated which test is the 
stricter standard,” Edward K. Cheng & Albert H. Yoon, Does Frye or Daubert Matter? 
A Study of Scientific Admissibility Standards, 91 Va. L. Rev. 471 (2005).  Regardless 
of  how  that  debate  unfolds,  a  court’s  gatekeeping  obligations  under  Daubert 

indisputably differ in kind from its obligations under Frye.  Accordingly, the Burrus 
court’s decision to admit evidence under Frye is only persuasive with respect to one 
of several factors this Court considers under Daubert.                    
   But even in the context of the general acceptance factor, the Court finds the 
Burrus decision to have limited persuasive value because it did not consider the 
precise question at issue here: whether OCME’s methods for estimating contributors 
to a DNA sample of 25 pg or less are generally accepted as reliable.  Rather, the 
Burrus court’s decision to admit the evidence appears to rest on its conclusion that 
LCN and FST are “not some bogus testing, and certainly not junk science.”  200 N.Y.S. 

at 723.  Respectfully, this Court does not share the view that an analysis of the 
general acceptance of a methodology starts or ends with an inquiry into whether that 
methodology amounts to “junk science.”  It is certainly true that courts are obligated 
— under both Daubert and Frye — to exclude expert evidence whose foundation is so 
patently flimsy as to not even be worthy of the term “science.”  But that is not the 
outer  limit  of  a  court’s  gatekeeping  function.    Instead,  proponents  of  scientific 

evidence may be able to show that a particular method is generally accepted by the 
relevant scientific community or otherwise reliably applied in one context yet fail to 
meet their burden when that methodology is used in another.  This case does not 
require the Court to consider (much less decide) whether OCME’s use of LCN and/or 
FST on low-template DNA mixtures can ever meet that threshold.  For the present 
purposes, the Court notes only that there is a vast gulf indeed between the evidence 
OCME has offered demonstrating the acceptance and reliability of its methods for 

testing robust DNA samples from either a single source or mixtures with a distinctly-
identifiable major donor on the one hand, and its methods for interpreting extremely 
low quantities of DNA in mixed DNA samples on the other.                  
   Importantly, Defendants could not point to any other cases involving Frye or 
Daubert challenges to DNA evidence where the “evidence consisted of a non-deducible 
DNA mixture, under 25pg, analyzed using LCN and FST.”  Letter dated Sept. 7, 2024 
at 2.  Unlike in Defendants’ cited cases, here, OCME used LCN and FST testing on a 
non-deducible DNA sample that was a mere 22.35 pg in quantity — which translates 
to “a little over three cells” of human DNA.  O’Connor Deposition at 169.8 

   Given this specific combination of factors, each of which can dramatically 
impact OCME’s interpretation of a DNA sample, the Court must be stalwart in 
exercising its gatekeeping function and “make sure that the highest standards of 
reliability are maintained.”  Williams, 35 N.Y.3d at 29.  Because those standards were 
not met here, the Court grants Plaintiff’s motion to preclude.            
                        CONCLUSION                                      

   For the foregoing reasons, the Court grants Plaintiff’s motion to preclude 
Defendants from offering the DNA evidence generated by OCME in this case.   
   SO ORDERED.                                                          

                                  /s/ NRM                               
                               NINA R. MORRISON                         
                               United States District Judge             

Dated: September 16, 2024                                                 
    Brooklyn, New York                                                  




   8 For context, the human body is made of many trillions of cells, and the DNA 
found in “typical fingerprints contain on the order of 100 cells.”  Krane Report at 5–
6.                                                                        

Case Information

Court
E.D.N.Y
Decision Date
September 16, 2024
Status
Precedential